Diagnosis of higher education in Colombia employing data analytics

Authors

  • Óscar Mayorga Torres Universidad Francisco de Paula Santander
  • Blanca Cecilia Torres Sotelo Universidad Francisco de Paula Santander
  • Sandra Paola Leal Hernández Universidad de Pamplona
  • Geisel Natalia Mayorga Torres Universidad de La Salle

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.26507/paper.4534

Keywords:

desempeño, data set, higher education, indicators, performance

Abstract

Higher education in Colombia is going through a difficult time in terms of access, permanence and graduation; a situation that is accentuated after the pandemic (COVID-19) where the higher education system loses 11% per year of the universe of possible students; in fact, government programs such as Matricula Cero or Jóvenes a la U, have not been able to recover the indicators. With the above, this research aimed to establish a diagnosis of the current situation of the sector focused on the analysis of the attrition factor, using data analytical techniques and relational comparisons of the figures in a time window of 2010-2024; identifying the factors that impact the performance indicators of the institutions and sector, in this sense; the research presents through graphs of density, distance, volume and relationship the behavior of the sector in a time window of 14 years, allowing to analyze the variables, actors, means and components of the sectoral data set.

Finally, conclusions are presented from the 4H model approach, determining possible tn+1 scenarios of the sector trend and the impacts on the academic population, the institutions and the sector.

Author Biographies

Blanca Cecilia Torres Sotelo, Universidad Francisco de Paula Santander

University professor, consultant in academic and curricular process management, biology graduate, specialist in environmental management, master's degree in environmental education and sustainability.

Sandra Paola Leal Hernández, Universidad de Pamplona

University Professor, Industrial Engineer, Master's Degree in Industrial Engineering

Geisel Natalia Mayorga Torres, Universidad de La Salle

Bilingual economist, business consultant on competitiveness, economic policy and governance issues.

References

Bernasconi, A. (2018). La educación superior en América Latina: desafíos y perspectivas. Santiago de Chile: UNESCO.

Castaño, Albeiro y García, Lucelia (2018). Una revisión teórica de la calidad de la educación superior en el contexto colombiano.

Castro, J., & Rojas, M. (2019). Gestión educativa basada en datos: un enfoque para la calidad institucional. Revista Colombiana de Educación, (76), 101-123.

DANE. (2020). Encuesta Nacional de Calidad de Vida. Departamento Administrativo Nacional de Estadística.

El Ayadi, M., Lhassani, A., & Taram, F. (2024). Artificial Intelligence Model to Predict Student Dropout in Morocco Using Machine Learning Techniques. arXiv. https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.07160

Ferguson, R. (2012). Learning analytics: drivers, developments and challenges. International Journal of Technology Enhanced Learning, 4(5/6), 304–317. https://doi.org/10.1504/IJTEL.2012.051816

Ferguson, R., & Clow, D. (2017). Learning analytics: Avoiding the black box. In International Journal of Artificial Intelligence in Education, 27(1), 1–26. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40593-016-0120-5

Kupiainen, R., Jääskelä, P., & Niemi, H. (2024). Predicting dropouts in higher education using machine learning: A case study in Finland. ScienceDirect. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0160791X24000228

Lytle, R. (2014). Colleges Use Big Data to Track Students in Effort to Boost Graduation Rates. TIME. https://time.com/3621228/college-data-tracking-graduation-rates/

Melo, Ligia; Ramos, Jorge y Hernández, Pedro (2014). La educación superior en Colombia: Situación actual y análisis de eficiencia. Banco de la República, Borradores de economía; Núm. 808.

Mendoza, H., Cueva, A., & Ordoñez, S. (2024). Análisis sistemático de modelos de predicción de deserción estudiantil utilizando técnicas de machine learning. EUDL. https://eudl.eu/doi/10.4108/eetsis.3586

Ministerio de Educación Nacional MEN. (2021). Informe de gestión sectorial 2020–2021. Bogotá, Colombia.

OECD. (2020). Education at a Glance: OECD Indicators. OECD Publishing.

Restrepo, L., & Gómez, J. (2021). Costos de la educación superior y abandono académico en Colombia. Revista de Economía Institucional, 23(44), 153–176.

Rodríguez, Wanda (2010). El concepto de la calidad educativa: Una mirada crítica desde el enfoque histórico cultural. Revista electrónica “Actualidades Investigativas en Educación”; vol. 10, pp. 1-28. https://doi.org/10.15517/aie.v10i1.10088

Siemens, G., & Long, P. (2011). Penetrating the fog: Analytics in learning and education. EDUCAUSE Review, 46(5), 30–40.

Téllez, C., & Patiño, H. (2020). Equidad y cobertura en la educación superior en Colombia: una visión regional. Universidad Nacional de Colombia.

Wang, Z., Li, Y., Wang, H., et al. (2020). EPARS: Early Prediction of At-Risk Students using Behavior Data in Online and Offline Environments. arXiv. https://arxiv.org/abs/2006.03857

How to Cite

[1]
Óscar Mayorga Torres, B. C. Torres Sotelo, S. P. Leal Hernández, and G. N. Mayorga Torres, “Diagnosis of higher education in Colombia employing data analytics”, EIEI ACOFI, Sep. 2025.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Published

2025-09-08
Article metrics
Abstract views
Galley vies
PDF Views
HTML views
Other views
Escanea para compartir
QR Code
Crossref Cited-by logo